Paulista Série BPaulista Série B
Sunday, 26 July 2026Last updated 10:14
America SP

America SP

Home
11
Full time
Itaquá Athletico Clube

Itaquá Athletico Clube

Away
W
GoalVio prediction
Too close to call
No clear favourite

The model sees this as an open match — all three outcomes are within a tight range.

America SP35%
Itaquá Athletico Clube35%
Draw29%
Most likely exact score1-0
Win probability
America SP
35%
Draw
29%
Itaquá Athletico Clube
35%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Itaquá Athletico Clube)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Itaquá Athletico Clube)
0.00
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Itaquá Athletico ClubeItaquá Athletico Clube
W

Probability breakdown

36% confidence
America SP35%
Draw29%
Itaquá Athletico Clube35%

America SP leads with 35% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

America SP head into this in Paulista Série B fixture in unknown form, while Itaquá Athletico Clube arrive in mixed form (W).

America SP have limited home data in the engine at this stage. Itaquá Athletico Clube have limited away data in the engine at this stage.

There is no head-to-head data between America SP and Itaquá Athletico Clube in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects America SP to win with 36% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: America SP 3539%, Draw 2928%, Itaquá Athletico Clube 3533%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Recent form

Itaquá Athletico Clube

Itaquá Athletico Clube

W
vs Uniao Mogi
18 Jul 2026
10

Frequently asked questions

Who will win America SP vs Itaquá Athletico Clube?

GoalVio's model predicts America SP to win with 36% confidence.

What is the predicted score for America SP vs Itaquá Athletico Clube?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in America SP vs Itaquá Athletico Clube?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in America SP vs Itaquá Athletico Clube?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more