America SPvs
Independente SP
COMPLETEDBrazil · Paulista Série B · 8/9/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-0 (15%), 1-1 (15%), 0-1 (14%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
America SP 2-0 Independente SP
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 August 2026 at 01:29 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5-unified-score-distribution.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–015%
- 2.1–115%
- 3.0–114%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
32.8%
Model confidence
14.6%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
America SPWDWDW
GF 11 · GA 3 · avg 2.20/0.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Independente SPWLWWW
GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
America SPIndependente SP
51.0Attack88.2
80.4Defence78.4
66.7Form76.5
66.9Power74.1
0.85xG1.17