GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie C · 5/3/2023, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

America-RN are 0W-0D-1L in their last 1 (L), averaging 0.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Ypiranga-RS are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 6 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Ypiranga-RS hold a 10.8-point power-rating edge (41.8 v 52.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.9% in the Serie C, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 29% BTTS chance and 21% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

41.9%

Model confidence

41.9%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

America-RNL

GF 0 · GA 1 · avg 0.00/1.00

BTTS 0/1O2.5 0/1
Ypiranga-RSLLLWD

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
America-RNYpiranga-RS
21.1Attack45.8
63.2Defence58.3
33.3Form50.0
41.8Power52.6
0.61xG0.96
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