America-RNvs
Sousa
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie D · 4/4/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
America-RN · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
America-RN are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWDWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Sousa are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and America-RN hold a 31.9-point power-rating edge (71.9 v 40.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 63.5% in the Serie D, while America-RN holds the strongest overall chance at 63% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 20% BTTS chance and 25% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
America-RN
Probability
63.5%
Model confidence
63.5%
America-RN has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00