America Mineirovs
São Bernardo
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie B · 9/14/2026, 10:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
São Bernardo · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: America Mineiro 0-1 São Bernardo, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
America Mineiro 0-2 São Bernardo
Original prediction
São Bernardo
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 31 August 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.48 | 37.3% | 20.3% | -17.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.07 | 30.1% | 25.4% | -4.7 pts |
| Away | 2.83 | 32.6% | 54.3% | 21.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.83 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
21.7 pts
Projected Score
America Mineiro 0–1 São Bernardo
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
São Bernardo
Probability
54.3%
Model confidence
54.3%
São Bernardo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20