GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 8/4/2023, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

RB Bragantino · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

America Mineiro are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDWLL), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.20 conceded, while RB Bragantino are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDLDW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and RB Bragantino hold a 7.1-point power-rating edge (50.9 v 58.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.4% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while RB Bragantino holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

RB Bragantino

Probability

42.4%

Model confidence

42.4%

RB Bragantino has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

America MineiroLDWLL

GF 10 · GA 11 · avg 2.00/2.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
RB BragantinoWDLDW

GF 4 · GA 2 · avg 0.80/0.40

BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
America MineiroRB Bragantino
66.7Attack48.1
44.4Defence77.8
41.7Form51.9
50.9Power58.0
1.10xG1.48
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