America Mineirovs
Ponte Preta
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie B · 8/30/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
America Mineiro · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: America Mineiro 0-0 Ponte Preta, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
America Mineiro 2-0 Ponte Preta
Original prediction
America Mineiro
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.11 | 83.8% | 54.4% | -29.5 pts |
| Draw | 8.08 | 11.5% | 24.9% | 13.4 pts |
| Away | 20.06 | 4.6% | 20.7% | 16.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.11 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-29.5 pts
Projected Score
America Mineiro 0–0 Ponte Preta
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
America Mineiro
Probability
54.4%
Model confidence
54.4%
America Mineiro has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 11 · avg 0.60/2.20
GF 2 · GA 12 · avg 0.40/2.40