America MineirovsPenarol

America Mineiro are 1W-1D-0L in their last 2 (WD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.50 conceded, while Penarol are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 7 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and America Mineiro hold a 26.8-point power-rating edge (50.9 v 24.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 70.3% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while America Mineiro holds the strongest overall chance at 70% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 76% for over 2.5 goals.