GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie B · 4/12/2026, 9:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Novorizontino · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

America Mineiro are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DLLDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Novorizontino are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDLDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Novorizontino hold a 25.5-point power-rating edge (32.0 v 57.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 20.0% in the Serie B, while Novorizontino holds the strongest overall chance at 64% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 30% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Novorizontino

Probability

64.3%

Model confidence

20.0%

Novorizontino has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

America MineiroDLLDD

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
NovorizontinoDDLDW

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
America MineiroNovorizontino
23.8Attack50.8
47.6Defence68.3
17.5Form52.4
32.0Power57.5
0.45xG1.58
View match centre →