America Mineirovs
Nautico Recife
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie B · 9/9/2026, 11:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Nautico Recife · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: America Mineiro 0-1 Nautico Recife, with an exact score probability of 20%.
Prediction record
Final result
America Mineiro 2-1 Nautico Recife
Original prediction
Nautico Recife
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.90 | 32.0% | 18.8% | -13.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.24 | 28.7% | 26.9% | -1.8 pts |
| Away | 2.37 | 39.2% | 54.3% | 15.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
15.1 pts
Projected Score
America Mineiro 0–1 Nautico Recife
Exact score probability: 20%
Predicted outcome
Nautico Recife
Probability
54.3%
Model confidence
54.3%
Nautico Recife has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 12 · avg 0.80/2.40
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60