GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 6/7/2023, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

America Mineiro · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

America Mineiro are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Millonarios are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Millonarios hold a 4.6-point power-rating edge (50.9 v 55.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.3% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while America Mineiro holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

America Mineiro

Probability

40.3%

Model confidence

40.3%

America Mineiro has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

America MineiroWLLLW

GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
MillonariosWWWWD

GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
America MineiroMillonarios
66.7Attack47.6
44.4Defence61.9
41.7Form52.4
50.9Power55.6
1.68xG1.44
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