America Mineirovs
Millonarios
COMPLETEDWorld · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 6/7/2023, 12:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
America Mineiro · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
America Mineiro are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Millonarios are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Millonarios hold a 4.6-point power-rating edge (50.9 v 55.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.3% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while America Mineiro holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
America Mineiro
Probability
40.3%
Model confidence
40.3%
America Mineiro has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80