Serie BSerie B
Monday, 13 July 2026Last updated 12:40
America Mineiro

America Mineiro

Home
DDL
11
Full time
Londrina

Londrina

Away
DW
GoalVio prediction
39% confidence
Londrina(33%)
Most likely exact score1-2
Prediction missed— Result: Draw
Win probability
America Mineiro
39%
Draw
29%
Londrina
33%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
America Mineiro
23
Londrina
94
Defence
America Mineiro
66
Londrina
82
Momentum
America Mineiro
22
Londrina
67
Danger (xG)
America Mineiro
1.28
Londrina
3.13
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
Yes
xG for (America Mineiro)
1.28
avg per match
xG for (Londrina)
3.13
avg per match
xG against (America Mineiro)
1.18
avg per match
xG against (Londrina)
1.05
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
America MineiroAmerica Mineiro
DDLLL
LondrinaLondrina
DWDWL

Probability breakdown

39% confidence
America Mineiro39%
Draw29%
Londrina33%

America Mineiro leads with 39% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

America Mineiro head into this in Serie B fixture in mixed form (DDL), while Londrina arrive in mixed form (DW). America Mineiro have a 0% win rate across their last 3 matches, compared to 50% for Londrina over 2 games.

Tactically, Londrina hold the edge. Their elite attack (94/100) is pitted against a solid America Mineiro defence (66/100), while America Mineiro's attack faces a watertight Londrina backline. The model flags this as a potential away-team performance.

America Mineiro have struggled at home recently, failing to win any of their last 3 home games. They average 0.7 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per home match. Londrina have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 2 away matches. They average 1.5 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per away game.

America Mineiro have generated 1.28 xG per game recently while conceding 1.18 xG per match, underperforming their xG in 100% of recent matches. Londrina have generated 1.75 xG per game recently while conceding 2.10 xG per match, underperforming their xG in 100% of recent matches.

The last 1 meetings between these sides have been evenly split, with 1 draw, averaging 2.0 goals per game, both teams scored in 1 of those fixtures.

The GoalVio engine projects Londrina to win with 39% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-2. Win probabilities: America Mineiro 3885%, Draw 2850%, Londrina 3265%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.

Head to head

America Mineiro 0Draws 10 Londrina
Avg goals: 2.0BTTS in 1/1
13 Jul 2026
America Mineiro
D11
Londrina
xG 2.11.8

Recent form

America Mineiro

America Mineiro

D
vs Ceara
17 Jul 2026
11
xG 1.3
D
vs Londrina
13 Jul 2026
11
xG 2.1
L
@ Cuiaba
3 Jul 2026
01
xG 0.4
L
@ Operario-PR
27 Jun 2026
01
L
vs Criciuma
24 Jun 2026
01
Londrina

Londrina

D
@ America Mineiro
13 Jul 2026
11
xG 1.8
W
vs CRB
4 Jul 2026
50
D
@ Cuiaba
26 Jun 2026
22
W
vs Athletic Club
20 Jun 2026
20
L
vs São Bernardo
12 May 2026
02

Frequently asked questions

Who will win America Mineiro vs Londrina?

GoalVio's model predicts Londrina to win with 39% confidence.

What is the predicted score for America Mineiro vs Londrina?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-2.

Will both teams score in America Mineiro vs Londrina?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in America Mineiro vs Londrina?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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