GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie B · 9/28/2026, 10:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Juventude · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Projected score: America Mineiro 0-1 Juventude, with an exact score probability of 25%.

Prediction record

Final result

America Mineiro 0-1 Juventude

Original prediction

Juventude

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 16:35 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home4.1622.3%13.3%-9.0 pts
Draw3.2928.2%28.1%-0.1 pts
Away1.8849.5%58.6%9.1 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.88 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

9.1 pts

Projected Score

America Mineiro 0–1 Juventude

Exact score probability: 25%

Predicted outcome

Juventude

Probability

58.6%

Model confidence

58.6%

Juventude has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

America MineiroLLWLW

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
JuventudeLLWDD

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
America MineiroJuventude
24.1Attack35.6
43.7Defence78.2
19.5Form57.5
31.7Power58.7
0.34xG1.20
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