Serie BSerie B
Sunday, 26 July 2026Last updated 10:12
America Mineiro

America Mineiro

Home
DDL
10
Full time
Goias

Goias

Away
DW
GoalVio prediction
46% confidence
America Mineiro(25%)
Most likely exact score1-0
Win probability
America Mineiro
25%
Draw
29%
Goias
46%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
America Mineiro
23
Goias
73
Defence
America Mineiro
66
Goias
66
Momentum
America Mineiro
22
Goias
67
Danger (xG)
America Mineiro
1.28
Goias
1.34
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (America Mineiro)
1.28
avg per match
xG for (Goias)
1.34
avg per match
xG against (America Mineiro)
1.18
avg per match
xG against (Goias)
0.88
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
America MineiroAmerica Mineiro
DDLLL
GoiasGoias
DWWLL

Probability breakdown

46% confidence
America Mineiro25%
Draw29%
Goias46%

Goias leads with 46% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

America Mineiro head into this in Serie B fixture in mixed form (DDL), while Goias arrive in mixed form (DW). America Mineiro have a 0% win rate across their last 3 matches, compared to 50% for Goias over 2 games.

Both sides are defensively strong — America Mineiro (66/100) and Goias (66/100) are both rated highly at the back. The model expects a tight, low-scoring affair with defences on top.

America Mineiro have struggled at home recently, failing to win any of their last 3 home games. They average 0.7 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per home match. Goias have won 1 of their last 3 away fixtures, averaging 1.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per away game.

America Mineiro have generated 1.28 xG per game recently while conceding 1.18 xG per match, underperforming their xG in 100% of recent matches. Goias have generated 0.89 xG per game recently while conceding 1.75 xG per match, overperforming their xG in 100% of recent matches.

There is no head-to-head data between America Mineiro and Goias in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects America Mineiro to win with 46% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: America Mineiro 2473%, Draw 2886%, Goias 4641%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Recent form

America Mineiro

America Mineiro

D
vs Ceara
17 Jul 2026
11
xG 1.3
D
vs Londrina
13 Jul 2026
11
xG 2.1
L
@ Cuiaba
3 Jul 2026
01
xG 0.4
L
@ Operario-PR
27 Jun 2026
01
L
vs Criciuma
24 Jun 2026
01
Goias

Goias

D
@ CRB
12 Jul 2026
22
xG 0.9
W
vs Ceara
5 Jul 2026
20
W
@ Nautico Recife
28 Jun 2026
10
L
vs Operario-PR
21 Jun 2026
03
L
@ Cruzeiro
13 May 2026
01

Frequently asked questions

Who will win America Mineiro vs Goias?

GoalVio's model predicts America Mineiro to win with 46% confidence.

What is the predicted score for America Mineiro vs Goias?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in America Mineiro vs Goias?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in America Mineiro vs Goias?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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