America Mineirovs
Fortaleza EC
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie B · 10/7/2026, 11:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Fortaleza EC · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: America Mineiro 0-1 Fortaleza EC, with an exact score probability of 23%.
Prediction record
Final result
America Mineiro 0-1 Fortaleza EC
Original prediction
Fortaleza EC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 09:28 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.91 | 23.7% | 14.5% | -9.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.39 | 27.3% | 26.9% | -0.4 pts |
| Away | 1.89 | 49.0% | 58.6% | 9.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.89 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
9.6 pts
Projected Score
America Mineiro 0–1 Fortaleza EC
Exact score probability: 23%
Predicted outcome
Fortaleza EC
Probability
58.6%
Model confidence
58.6%
Fortaleza EC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.40/1.40
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00