America Mineirovs
Fortaleza EC
COMPLETEDWorld · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 8/24/2023, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Fortaleza EC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
America Mineiro are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Fortaleza EC are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Fortaleza EC hold a 23.2-point power-rating edge (50.9 v 74.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 63.0% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Fortaleza EC holds the strongest overall chance at 63% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Fortaleza EC
Probability
63.0%
Model confidence
63.0%
Fortaleza EC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20
GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 1.40/0.40