GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 8/24/2023, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Fortaleza EC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

America Mineiro are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Fortaleza EC are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Fortaleza EC hold a 23.2-point power-rating edge (50.9 v 74.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 63.0% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Fortaleza EC holds the strongest overall chance at 63% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Fortaleza EC

Probability

63.0%

Model confidence

63.0%

Fortaleza EC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

America MineiroLLDLD

GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Fortaleza ECWWDLW

GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 1.40/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
America MineiroFortaleza EC
66.7Attack71.8
44.4Defence74.4
41.7Form76.9
50.9Power74.1
1.02xG2.35
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