America Mineirovs
Defensa Y Justicia
COMPLETEDWorld · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 5/24/2023, 12:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Defensa Y Justicia · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
America Mineiro are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Defensa Y Justicia are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDDWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Defensa Y Justicia hold a 14.1-point power-rating edge (50.9 v 65.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.6% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Defensa Y Justicia holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Defensa Y Justicia
Probability
41.6%
Model confidence
41.6%
Defensa Y Justicia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80