GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 5/24/2023, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Defensa Y Justicia · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

America Mineiro are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Defensa Y Justicia are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDDWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Defensa Y Justicia hold a 14.1-point power-rating edge (50.9 v 65.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.6% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Defensa Y Justicia holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Defensa Y Justicia

Probability

41.6%

Model confidence

41.6%

Defensa Y Justicia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

America MineiroWWLDL

GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Defensa Y JusticiaLDDWW

GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
America MineiroDefensa Y Justicia
66.7Attack58.3
44.4Defence61.1
41.7Form72.2
50.9Power65.1
1.58xG1.86
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