Copa ColombiaCopa Colombia
Wednesday, 22 July 2026Last updated 12:40
America de Cali

America de Cali

Home
LW
21
Full time
Real Cartagena

Real Cartagena

Away
L
GoalVio prediction
53% confidence
America de Cali(53%)
Most likely exact score1-0
Win probability
America de Cali
53%
Draw
24%
Real Cartagena
23%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
America de Cali
34
Real Cartagena
9
Defence
America de Cali
66
Real Cartagena
6
Momentum
America de Cali
50
Real Cartagena
0
Danger (xG)
America de Cali
0.90
Real Cartagena
0.00
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (America de Cali)
0.90
avg per match
xG for (Real Cartagena)
0.00
avg per match
xG against (America de Cali)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Real Cartagena)
2.70
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
America de CaliAmerica de Cali
LWL
Real CartagenaReal Cartagena
L

Probability breakdown

53% confidence
America de Cali53%
Draw24%
Real Cartagena23%

America de Cali leads with 53% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

Share this

Analysis

Match insights

America de Cali head into this in Copa Colombia fixture in mixed form (LW), while Real Cartagena arrive in mixed form (L). America de Cali have a 50% win rate across their last 2 matches, compared to 0% for Real Cartagena over 1 games.

Tactically, this looks like a one-sided contest. America de Cali's modest attack (34/100) faces a vulnerable Real Cartagena defence (6/100), while Real Cartagena's attack is up against a solid America de Cali backline. The model sees a clear mismatch in America de Cali's favour.

America de Cali have limited home data in the engine at this stage. Real Cartagena have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 1 away matches. They average 0.0 goals scored and 3.0 conceded per away game.

There is no head-to-head data between America de Cali and Real Cartagena in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects America de Cali to win with 53% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: America de Cali 5339%, Draw 2372%, Real Cartagena 2289%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Recent form

America de Cali

America de Cali

L
@ Houston Dynamo
16 Jul 2026
12
W
@ Santos Laguna
10 Jul 2026
10
L
@ Santa Fe
13 May 2026
04
Real Cartagena

Real Cartagena

L
@ Union Magdalena
12 May 2026
03

Frequently asked questions

Who will win America de Cali vs Real Cartagena?

GoalVio's model predicts America de Cali to win with 53% confidence.

What is the predicted score for America de Cali vs Real Cartagena?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in America de Cali vs Real Cartagena?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in America de Cali vs Real Cartagena?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

Explore more predictions

About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
View full accuracy stats →
Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more