GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 8/13/2025, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

America de Cali are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Fluminense are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Fluminense hold a 9.5-point power-rating edge (57.9 v 67.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.1% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 30% BTTS chance and 22% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

41.1%

Model confidence

41.1%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

America de CaliLWLWW

GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
FluminenseDDWWL

GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
America de CaliFluminense
38.1Attack53.3
71.4Defence83.3
57.1Form66.7
57.9Power67.4
0.61xG1.00
View match centre →