America de Calivs
Deportivo Pereira
COMPLETEDColombia · Copa Colombia · 9/9/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
America de Cali · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (14%), 1-0 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
America de Cali 4-1 Deportivo Pereira
Original prediction
America de Cali
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.24 | 74.4% | 46.7% | -27.7 pts |
| Draw | 5.35 | 17.2% | 26.9% | 9.7 pts |
| Away | 10.98 | 8.4% | 26.4% | 18.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.24 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-27.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–014%
- 3.1–013%
Predicted outcome
America de Cali
Probability
46.7%
Model confidence
46.7%
America de Cali has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00