GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 7/23/2025, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

America de Cali · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

America de Cali are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDDWL), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Bahia are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DDWWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and America de Cali hold a 26.6-point power-rating edge (57.9 v 31.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.8% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while America de Cali holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 28% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

America de Cali

Probability

43.8%

Model confidence

43.8%

America de Cali has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

America de CaliDDDWL

GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
BahiaDDWWW

GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
America de CaliBahia
38.1Attack0.0
71.4Defence66.7
57.1Form16.7
57.9Power31.3
1.18xG0.68
View match centre →