America de Calivs
Alianza Atletico
COMPLETEDWorld · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 4/16/2026, 2:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
America de Cali · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
America de Cali are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLWLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Alianza Atletico are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDDWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and America de Cali hold a 22.1-point power-rating edge (57.9 v 35.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.5% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while America de Cali holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 29% BTTS chance and 24% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
America de Cali
Probability
48.5%
Model confidence
48.5%
America de Cali has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40