GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 4/16/2026, 2:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

America de Cali · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

America de Cali are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLWLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Alianza Atletico are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDDWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and America de Cali hold a 22.1-point power-rating edge (57.9 v 35.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.5% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while America de Cali holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 29% BTTS chance and 24% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

America de Cali

Probability

48.5%

Model confidence

48.5%

America de Cali has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

America de CaliDLWLD

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Alianza AtleticoDDDWL

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
America de CaliAlianza Atletico
38.1Attack19.0
71.4Defence57.1
57.1Form23.8
57.9Power35.8
1.19xG0.52
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