Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Amed · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (13%), 1-0 (12%), 1-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Amed 1-0 Konyaspor
Original prediction
Amed
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 17 September 2026 at 00:28 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.85 | 50.3% | 60.6% | 10.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.48 | 26.8% | 22.2% | -4.6 pts |
| Away | 4.06 | 22.9% | 17.3% | -5.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.85 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
10.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–013%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.1–110%
Predicted outcome
Amed
Probability
60.6%
Model confidence
60.6%
Amed has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
AmedDWWDW
GF 14 · GA 7 · avg 2.80/1.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
KonyasporDDDWL
GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 0.60/0.60
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
AmedKonyaspor
81.0Attack19.0
57.1Defence61.9
66.7Form23.8
67.0Power38.0
2.06xG0.75