Amedvs
Başakşehir
COMPLETEDTurkey · Süper Lig · 9/13/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Amed · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 1-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Amed 5-0 Başakşehir
Original prediction
Amed
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.48 | 37.6% | 44.0% | 6.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.41 | 27.2% | 25.8% | -1.4 pts |
| Away | 2.64 | 35.2% | 30.1% | -5.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.48 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.1–08%
Predicted outcome
Amed
Probability
44.0%
Model confidence
44.0%
Amed has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
AmedDWLWW
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
BaşakşehirLDLWL
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
AmedBaşakşehir
58.3Attack50.0
58.3Defence50.0
58.3Form33.3
58.9Power45.9
1.75xG1.19