GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie C · 8/29/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Projected score: Amazonas 0-0 Ypiranga-RS, with an exact score probability of 16%.

Prediction record

Final result

Amazonas 2-2 Ypiranga-RS

Original prediction

Draw

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.2739.9%34.6%-5.3 pts
Draw2.8332.0%29.8%-2.2 pts
Away3.2228.1%35.6%7.5 pts

Historical EV

1X2 1.83 · Draw 1.83 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-2.2 pts

Projected Score

Amazonas 0–0 Ypiranga-RS

Exact score probability: 16%

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

29.8%

Model confidence

35.6%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AmazonasDDWWL

GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Ypiranga-RSWDWWL

GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
AmazonasYpiranga-RS
35.2Attack46.3
61.1Defence59.3
46.3Form51.9
48.7Power53.8
0.91xG1.00
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