Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Amazonas are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Ituano are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 49.0 against 50.6. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 19.4% in the Serie C, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 34% BTTS chance and 25% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
36.6%
Model confidence
19.4%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60