Amazonasvs
Ferroviária
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie C · 5/24/2026, 7:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Amazonas are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLDWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Ferroviária are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WDWDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Ferroviária hold a 5.4-point power-rating edge (49.0 v 54.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 23.3% in the Serie C, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 29% BTTS chance and 19% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
39.0%
Model confidence
23.3%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
GF 4 · GA 2 · avg 0.80/0.40