Amal Tiznitvs
Difaa EL Jadida
COMPLETEDMorocco · Botola Pro · 10/10/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Amal Tiznit · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (12%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Amal Tiznit 2-5 Difaa EL Jadida
Original prediction
Amal Tiznit
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 7 October 2026 at 21:44 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.37 | 38.3% | 42.4% | 4.1 pts |
| Draw | 2.85 | 31.8% | 29.3% | -2.5 pts |
| Away | 3.03 | 29.9% | 28.3% | -1.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.0–011%
Predicted outcome
Amal Tiznit
Probability
42.4%
Model confidence
42.4%
Amal Tiznit has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80
GF 6 · GA 14 · avg 1.20/2.80