GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Libertadores · 3/1/2023, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Magallanes · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Always Ready are 1W-1D-1L in their last 3 (LWD), averaging 1.67 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Magallanes are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 8 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Magallanes hold a 25.8-point power-rating edge (34.9 v 60.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.7% in the CONMEBOL Libertadores, while Magallanes holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Magallanes

Probability

43.7%

Model confidence

43.7%

Magallanes has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Always ReadyLWD

GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.67/1.00

BTTS 0/3O2.5 2/3
MagallanesWWWLD

GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Always ReadyMagallanes
38.9Attack58.3
50.0Defence66.7
16.7Form58.3
34.9Power60.7
0.98xG1.43
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