GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 7/26/2024, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

LDU de Quito · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Always Ready are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLDLL), averaging 0.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while LDU de Quito are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and LDU de Quito hold a 9.7-point power-rating edge (55.6 v 65.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.1% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while LDU de Quito holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 37% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

LDU de Quito

Probability

47.1%

Model confidence

47.1%

LDU de Quito has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Always ReadyDLDLL

GF 1 · GA 9 · avg 0.20/1.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
LDU de QuitoWDWWL

GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Always ReadyLDU de Quito
54.2Attack54.8
54.2Defence81.0
58.3Form61.9
55.6Power65.4
0.80xG1.39
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