GGOALVIO

Bolivia · Primera División · 10/12/2026, 9:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Always Ready · BTTS No · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 3-0 (13%), 2-0 (12%), 4-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Always Ready 2-0 Independiente Petrolero

Original prediction

Always Ready

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 20:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.1480.1%80.7%0.5 pts
Draw7.4212.3%12.1%-0.3 pts
Away12.157.5%7.3%-0.3 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.14 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

0.5 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.3–013%
  2. 2.2–012%
  3. 3.4–011%

Predicted outcome

Always Ready

Probability

80.7%

Model confidence

80.7%

Always Ready has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Always ReadyLWDLL

GF 9 · GA 18 · avg 1.80/3.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
Independiente PetroleroWLWWW

GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Always ReadyIndependiente Petrolero
78.3Attack45.0
78.3Defence41.7
75.0Form41.7
75.2Power44.7
3.24xG0.63
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