GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 4/5/2024, 2:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Always Ready · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Always Ready are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Independiente Medellin are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWLDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Always Ready hold a 19.1-point power-rating edge (55.6 v 36.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.9% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Always Ready holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Always Ready

Probability

48.9%

Model confidence

48.9%

Always Ready has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Always ReadyLLLWD

GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Independiente MedellinLWLDD

GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Always ReadyIndependiente Medellin
54.2Attack33.3
54.2Defence50.0
58.3Form16.7
55.6Power36.5
1.63xG0.98
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