GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 5/8/2024, 2:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Defensa Y Justicia · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Always Ready are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Defensa Y Justicia are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDWLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Defensa Y Justicia hold a 9.4-point power-rating edge (55.6 v 65.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.3% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Defensa Y Justicia holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Defensa Y Justicia

Probability

39.3%

Model confidence

39.3%

Defensa Y Justicia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Always ReadyWDLWL

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Defensa Y JusticiaLDWLL

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Always ReadyDefensa Y Justicia
54.2Attack58.3
54.2Defence61.1
58.3Form72.2
55.6Power65.1
1.26xG1.50
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