Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs
Saturday, 25 July 2026Last updated 10:01
Alverca

Alverca

Home
W
10
Full time
Mafra

Mafra

Away
L
GoalVio prediction
Friendly match
Very hard to predict

Friendly match — very hard to predict, not included in accuracy.

Mafra33%
Alverca33%
Draw33%
Most likely exact score1-1
Win probability
Alverca
33%
Draw
33%
Mafra
33%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Alverca
73
Mafra
73
Defence
Alverca
66
Mafra
6
Momentum
Alverca
100
Mafra
0
Danger (xG)
Alverca
1.80
Mafra
1.80
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Alverca)
1.80
avg per match
xG for (Mafra)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (Alverca)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Mafra)
2.70
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
AlvercaAlverca
WD
MafraMafra
LL

Probability breakdown

33% confidence
Alverca33%
Draw33%
Mafra33%

Mafra leads with 33% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Alverca head into this in Friendlies Clubs fixture in mixed form (W), while Mafra arrive in mixed form (L). Alverca have a 100% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 0% for Mafra over 1 games.

Both teams carry genuine attacking threat — Alverca (73/100) and Mafra (73/100) are both rated highly going forward. The model anticipates an open, goal-heavy contest.

Alverca have won all 1 of their recent home fixtures, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game at home. Mafra have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 2 away matches. They average 1.5 goals scored and 3.0 conceded per away game.

There is no head-to-head data between Alverca and Mafra in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects a draw with 33% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-1. Win probabilities: Alverca 3333%, Draw 3333%, Mafra 3334%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: No.

Recent form

Alverca

Alverca

W
vs CF Os Belenenses
17 Jul 2026
21
D
@ Famalicao
16 May 2026
00
Mafra

Mafra

L
@ FC Fredericia
15 Jul 2026
23
L
@ CF Os Belenenses
16 May 2026
13

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Alverca vs Mafra?

GoalVio's model predicts a draw with 33% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Alverca vs Mafra?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-1.

Will both teams score in Alverca vs Mafra?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Alverca vs Mafra?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more