Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs
Wednesday, 22 July 2026Last updated 10:01
Alverca

Alverca

Home
W
20
Full time
Estoril

Estoril

Away
L
GoalVio prediction
Friendly match
Very hard to predict

Friendly match — very hard to predict, not included in accuracy.

Estoril33%
Alverca33%
Draw33%
Most likely exact score1-1
Win probability
Alverca
33%
Draw
33%
Estoril
33%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Alverca
73
Estoril
9
Defence
Alverca
66
Estoril
6
Momentum
Alverca
100
Estoril
0
Danger (xG)
Alverca
1.80
Estoril
0.00
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Alverca)
1.80
avg per match
xG for (Estoril)
0.00
avg per match
xG against (Alverca)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Estoril)
2.70
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
AlvercaAlverca
WD
EstorilEstoril
L

Probability breakdown

33% confidence
Alverca33%
Draw33%
Estoril33%

Estoril leads with 33% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Alverca head into this in Friendlies Clubs fixture in mixed form (W), while Estoril arrive in mixed form (L). Alverca have a 100% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 0% for Estoril over 1 games.

Tactically, this looks like a one-sided contest. Alverca's strong attack (73/100) faces a vulnerable Estoril defence (6/100), while Estoril's attack is up against a solid Alverca backline. The model sees a clear mismatch in Alverca's favour.

Alverca have won all 1 of their recent home fixtures, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game at home. Estoril have limited away data in the engine at this stage.

There is no head-to-head data between Alverca and Estoril in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects a draw with 33% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-1. Win probabilities: Alverca 3333%, Draw 3333%, Estoril 3334%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: No.

Recent form

Alverca

Alverca

W
vs CF Os Belenenses
17 Jul 2026
21
D
@ Famalicao
16 May 2026
00
Estoril

Estoril

L
vs Benfica
16 May 2026
03

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Alverca vs Estoril?

GoalVio's model predicts a draw with 33% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Alverca vs Estoril?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-1.

Will both teams score in Alverca vs Estoril?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Alverca vs Estoril?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more