Alverca U19vs
Casa Pia U19
COMPLETEDPortugal · Júniores U19 · 9/19/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Casa Pia U19 · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (9%), 0-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Alverca U19 1-1 Casa Pia U19
Original prediction
Casa Pia U19
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.58 | 34.7% | 35.1% | 0.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.28 | 27.3% | 27.2% | -0.1 pts |
| Away | 2.36 | 37.9% | 37.7% | -0.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.28 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–09%
- 3.0–19%
Predicted outcome
Casa Pia U19
Probability
37.7%
Model confidence
37.7%
Casa Pia U19 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20