AlvaradovsSantamarina

Alvarado are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (LDWDD), averaging 0.40 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Santamarina are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDWDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 10 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Alvarado hold a 28.5-point power-rating edge (63.2 v 34.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 27.3% in the Torneo Federal A, while Alvarado holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 17% BTTS chance and 18% for over 2.5 goals.