Alvaradovs
Olimpo Bahia Blanca
COMPLETEDArgentina · Torneo Federal A · 9/20/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Alvarado 0-0 Olimpo Bahia Blanca, with an exact score probability of 40%.
Prediction record
Final result
Alvarado 1-1 Olimpo Bahia Blanca
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.32 | 38.8% | 38.9% | 0.1 pts |
| Draw | 2.54 | 35.4% | 40.1% | 4.7 pts |
| Away | 3.48 | 25.8% | 21.0% | -4.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.54 · Draw 1.54 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.7 pts
Projected Score
Alvarado 0–0 Olimpo Bahia Blanca
Exact score probability: 40%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
40.1%
Model confidence
40.1%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
AlvaradoLWWDD
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Olimpo Bahia BlancaDLWDW
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 0/5
AlvaradoOlimpo Bahia Blanca
40.6Attack27.5
84.1Defence89.9
59.4Form62.3
61.9Power62.3
0.59xG0.34