Alvaradovs
Kimberley Mar del Plata
COMPLETEDArgentina · Torneo Federal A · 4/11/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Alvarado are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLD), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Kimberley Mar del Plata are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDWLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Alvarado hold a 5.8-point power-rating edge (63.2 v 57.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.1% in the Torneo Federal A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 15% BTTS chance and 8% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
48.1%
Model confidence
38.1%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.40/1.40
GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80