Alvaradovs
Argentino Monte Maíz
SCHEDULEDArgentina · Torneo Federal A · 8/23/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Alvarado are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.20 conceded, while Argentino Monte Maíz are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LLDDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and alvarado hold a 11.7-point power-rating edge (62.1 v 50.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely result in the Torneo Federal A, favouring a draw with 32.8% confidence, a 18% BTTS chance and 11% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
43.6%
Model confidence
32.8%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 1 · avg 1.60/0.20
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20