GGOALVIO

Argentina · Torneo Promocional Amateur · 8/16/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Alumni Los Hornos are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Everton La Plata are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LDLLL), averaging 0.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Alumni Los Hornos hold a 4.6-point power-rating edge (44.6 v 40.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.4% in the Torneo Promocional Amateur, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 24% BTTS chance and 15% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

46.4%

Model confidence

46.4%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Alumni Los HornosWLLWL

GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Everton La PlataLDLLL

GF 1 · GA 5 · avg 0.20/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Alumni Los HornosEverton La Plata
38.5Attack16.7
56.4Defence69.4
35.9Form25.0
44.6Power40.0
0.77xG0.56
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