Aluminium Arakvs
Malavan
COMPLETEDIran · Persian Gulf Pro League · 10/8/2026, 12:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Aluminium Arak · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Aluminium Arak 1-0 Malavan, with an exact score probability of 21%.
Prediction record
Final result
Aluminium Arak 1-1 Malavan
Original prediction
Aluminium Arak
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 19:39 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.31 | 39.6% | 42.4% | 2.8 pts |
| Draw | 2.79 | 32.8% | 31.4% | -1.4 pts |
| Away | 3.31 | 27.6% | 26.2% | -1.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 1.79 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.8 pts
Projected Score
Aluminium Arak 1–0 Malavan
Exact score probability: 21%
Predicted outcome
Aluminium Arak
Probability
42.4%
Model confidence
42.4%
Aluminium Arak has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40