Aluminium Arakvs
Kheybar Khorramabad
COMPLETEDIran · Persian Gulf Pro League · 8/28/2026, 3:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Aluminium Arak 0-0 Kheybar Khorramabad, with an exact score probability of 27%.
Prediction record
Final result
Aluminium Arak 2-2 Kheybar Khorramabad
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:50 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.36 | 38.7% | 35.3% | -3.4 pts |
| Draw | 2.90 | 31.5% | 33.6% | 2.0 pts |
| Away | 3.07 | 29.7% | 31.1% | 1.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.90 · Draw 1.90 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.0 pts
Projected Score
Aluminium Arak 0–0 Kheybar Khorramabad
Exact score probability: 27%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
33.6%
Model confidence
35.3%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/1.00
GF 2 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/3.00