UEFA Europa LeagueUEFA Europa League
Thursday, 16 July 2026Last updated 10:03
Aluminij

Aluminij

Home
LD
01
Full time
Sheriff Tiraspol

Sheriff Tiraspol

Away
WD
Ljudski vrt
GoalVio prediction
38% confidence
Aluminij(37%)
Prediction missed— Result: Sheriff Tiraspol
Win probability
Aluminij
37%
Draw
28%
Sheriff Tiraspol
35%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Aluminij
9
Sheriff Tiraspol
18
Defence
Aluminij
82
Sheriff Tiraspol
91
Momentum
Aluminij
17
Sheriff Tiraspol
67
Danger (xG)
Aluminij
0.00
Sheriff Tiraspol
0.00
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Aluminij)
0.00
avg per match
xG for (Sheriff Tiraspol)
0.00
avg per match
xG against (Aluminij)
0.00
avg per match
xG against (Sheriff Tiraspol)
0.00
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
AluminijAluminij
LDDW
Sheriff TiraspolSheriff Tiraspol
WWDWW

Probability breakdown

38% confidence
Aluminij37%
Draw28%
Sheriff Tiraspol35%

Aluminij leads with 37% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Aluminij head into this in UEFA Europa League fixture at Ljudski vrt in mixed form (LD), while Sheriff Tiraspol arrive in mixed form (WD). Aluminij have a 0% win rate across their last 2 matches, compared to 50% for Sheriff Tiraspol over 2 games.

Both sides are defensively strong — Aluminij (82/100) and Sheriff Tiraspol (91/100) are both rated highly at the back. The model expects a tight, low-scoring affair with defences on top.

Aluminij have struggled at home recently, failing to win any of their last 2 home games. They average 0.0 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per home match. Sheriff Tiraspol have been excellent on the road, winning all 1 of their recent away fixtures and averaging 1.0 goals scored and 0.0 conceded per away game.

Aluminij have generated 0.00 xG per game recently while conceding 0.00 xG per match, underperforming their xG in 100% of recent matches. Sheriff Tiraspol have generated 0.00 xG per game recently while conceding 0.00 xG per match.

Sheriff Tiraspol have dominated recent head-to-head meetings, winning 1 of the last 2 encounters, with 1 draw, averaging 0.5 goals per game.

The GoalVio engine projects Aluminij to win with 38% confidence. Win probabilities: Aluminij 3657%, Draw 2836%, Sheriff Tiraspol 3508%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Head to head

Aluminij 0Draws 11 Sheriff Tiraspol
Avg goals: 0.5
16 Jul 2026
Aluminij
L01
Sheriff Tiraspol
xG 0.00.0
9 Jul 2026
Aluminij
D00
Sheriff Tiraspol
xG 0.00.0

Recent form

Aluminij

Aluminij

L
vs Sheriff Tiraspol
16 Jul 2026
01
xG 0.0
D
@ Sheriff Tiraspol
9 Jul 2026
00
xG 0.0
D
vs Primorje
16 May 2026
00
W
@ Brinje-Grosuplje
13 May 2026
10
Sheriff Tiraspol

Sheriff Tiraspol

W
@ Aluminij
16 Jul 2026
10
xG 0.0
W
vs Zimbru
12 Jul 2026
42
D
vs Aluminij
9 Jul 2026
00
xG 0.0
W
vs Sireți
28 Jun 2026
30
W
vs Petrocub
13 May 2026
20

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Aluminij vs Sheriff Tiraspol?

GoalVio's model predicts Aluminij to win with 38% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Aluminij vs Sheriff Tiraspol?

A predicted scoreline has not yet been generated for this fixture.

Will both teams score in Aluminij vs Sheriff Tiraspol?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Aluminij vs Sheriff Tiraspol?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more