Aluminijvs
Olimpija Ljubljana
COMPLETEDSlovenia · 1. SNL · 10/16/2026, 3:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Aluminij · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Aluminij 0-0 Olimpija Ljubljana, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Aluminij 0-1 Olimpija Ljubljana
Original prediction
Aluminij
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 21 September 2026 at 00:25 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 3.50+| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.68 | 24.8% | 37.8% | 13.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.44 | 26.5% | 28.9% | 2.5 pts |
| Away | 1.87 | 48.8% | 33.3% | -15.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
13.0 pts
Projected Score
Aluminij 0–0 Olimpija Ljubljana
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Aluminij
Probability
37.8%
Model confidence
37.8%
Aluminij has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
AluminijLDDWD
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Olimpija LjubljanaDWLWW
GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
AluminijOlimpija Ljubljana
48.5Attack39.4
63.6Defence66.7
39.4Form45.5
50.0Power51.9
1.03xG0.79