Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Aluminij · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (10%), 0-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Aluminij 1-1 Nafta
Original prediction
Aluminij
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 August 2026 at 01:16 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.2-calibrated-1x2.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.0–09%
Predicted outcome
Aluminij
Probability
40.0%
Model confidence
40.0%
Aluminij has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
AluminijLDLDL
GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.40/1.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
NaftaLLLWD
GF 2 · GA 10 · avg 0.40/2.00
BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
AluminijNafta
34.3Attack30.6
34.3Defence36.1
28.7Form25.9
34.5Power33.5
1.41xG1.10