1. SNL1. SNL
Sunday, 19 July 2026Last updated 10:01
Aluminij

Aluminij

Home
LD
00
Full time
Maribor

Maribor

Away
L
Sportni park Aluminij
GoalVio prediction
43% confidence
Aluminij(43%)
Most likely exact score1-0
Prediction missed— Result: Draw
Win probability
Aluminij
43%
Draw
28%
Maribor
30%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Aluminij
9
Maribor
34
Defence
Aluminij
82
Maribor
27
Momentum
Aluminij
17
Maribor
0
Danger (xG)
Aluminij
0.00
Maribor
0.90
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Aluminij)
0.00
avg per match
xG for (Maribor)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Aluminij)
0.00
avg per match
xG against (Maribor)
1.80
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
AluminijAluminij
LDDW
MariborMaribor
L

Probability breakdown

43% confidence
Aluminij43%
Draw28%
Maribor30%

Aluminij leads with 43% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Aluminij head into this in 1. SNL fixture at Sportni park Aluminij in mixed form (LD), while Maribor arrive in mixed form (L). Aluminij have a 0% win rate across their last 2 matches, compared to 0% for Maribor over 1 games.

The model rates Aluminij's attack at 9/100 against a 27/100 Maribor defence, and Maribor's attack at 34/100 against a 82/100 Aluminij backline — a balanced matchup with neither side holding a clear structural edge.

Aluminij have struggled at home recently, failing to win any of their last 2 home games. They average 0.0 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per home match. Maribor have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 1 away matches. They average 1.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per away game.

Aluminij have generated 0.00 xG per game recently while conceding 0.00 xG per match, underperforming their xG in 100% of recent matches.

There is no head-to-head data between Aluminij and Maribor in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects Aluminij to win with 43% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: Aluminij 4265%, Draw 2775%, Maribor 2960%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Recent form

Aluminij

Aluminij

L
vs Sheriff Tiraspol
16 Jul 2026
01
xG 0.0
D
@ Sheriff Tiraspol
9 Jul 2026
00
xG 0.0
D
vs Primorje
16 May 2026
00
W
@ Brinje-Grosuplje
13 May 2026
10
Maribor

Maribor

L
@ Mura
17 May 2026
12

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Aluminij vs Maribor?

GoalVio's model predicts Aluminij to win with 43% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Aluminij vs Maribor?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in Aluminij vs Maribor?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Aluminij vs Maribor?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more