Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Koper · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 0-2 (11%), 0-1 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Aluminij 0-1 Koper
Original prediction
Koper
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:52 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.24 | 28.1% | 25.2% | -2.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.41 | 26.7% | 26.4% | -0.3 pts |
| Away | 2.01 | 45.2% | 48.4% | 3.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.01 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.0–211%
- 3.0–111%
Predicted outcome
Koper
Probability
48.4%
Model confidence
48.4%
Koper has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
AluminijWWDLD
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
KoperWDLLW
GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80
BTTS 0/5O2.5 0/5
AluminijKoper
34.3Attack33.3
34.3Defence100.0
28.7Form100.0
34.5Power80.3
0.87xG1.88