Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bravo · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (13%), 0-1 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Aluminij 0-0 Bravo
Original prediction
Bravo
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:20 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.31 | 39.5% | 34.4% | -5.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.39 | 26.9% | 29.3% | 2.3 pts |
| Away | 2.72 | 33.5% | 36.3% | 2.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.39 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–013%
- 3.0–112%
Predicted outcome
Bravo
Probability
36.3%
Model confidence
36.3%
Bravo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
AluminijLLWWD
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
BravoWLDDL
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
AluminijBravo
0.0Attack38.9
33.3Defence61.1
0.0Form46.3
15.3Power50.9
1.01xG1.16