Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Artsakh · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Aluminij are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DDLDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Artsakh are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWW), averaging 3.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 35.7 against 36.5. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.5% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Artsakh holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Artsakh
Probability
38.0%
Model confidence
12.5%
Artsakh has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40
GF 17 · GA 5 · avg 3.40/1.00